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Industry News 9/15/2009

Industry News 9/15/2009
 
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After back-to-back years of sharp declines in sales, the California housing market bounced back in 2008 with a 27 percent increase in sales.  The increase was due in large part to the growth in the absorption of distressed properties, which comprised over half of the sales.  With deeply discounted distressed sales flooding the market, prices have dropped significantly since early 2008.  The accumulation of foreclosures, REOs, and short sales will continue to put downward pressure on home prices, until mortgage problems begin to subside in the second half of 2009.  Despite their negative impact on home owners’ equity, the decline in home prices, combined with historically low mortgage rates, have dramatically improved housing affordability and have created opportunities for home buyers.

 

The Survey of California Home Buyers is the 10th annual CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) buyer survey that details how home buyers have changed their behaviors in recent years to adapt to the new housing market environment and to the increased use of the Internet in the real estate business.  Some of the key findings include:

 

  • Distressed sales made up more than half of sales in California.  According to results from the survey, 49 percent of all buyers bought a home through a regular market sale, 38 percent bought an REO/bank-owned property, and 13 percent bought a short-sale property.
  • Home buyers, in general, were optimistic about the future direction of home prices in their neighborhood.  While fewer than one in ten believed prices would go up over the next year, one third believed prices would go up in the next 5 years, and 60 percent thought prices would go up in 10 years.
  • Home buyers continued to experience considerable difficulty in obtaining financing for the homes they bought.  On a scale of “1” to “10”, with “1” being “very easy” to obtain financing and “10” being “very difficult”, home buyers reported a high average level of difficulty in obtaining financing of 8.1.
  • A recent study by the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® suggests that the financial benefits of owning a home outweigh that of renting for first-time buyers.  For a first-time buyer household that purchases an entry-level home between January 1st and November 31st, 2009, the overall tax liability savings in the first five years of homeownership is well over $11,000 when compared to renters.
  • When asked why they were satisfied with their agent, home buyers continued to cite “always quick to respond” (73 percent) and “negotiated good deal on their behalf” (61 percent) as the top two reasons.
  • Home buyers needed the most help with price negotiation (36 percent), determining prices for comparable homes (24 percent), finding the right home to purchase (21 percent), negotiating the purchase of distressed property with banks (18 percent), and negotiating the terms of sale (2 percent).
  • Home buyers offered some suggestions to agents on how to improve their services.  Home buyers would like their agents to improve the speed of communications (33 percent); provide references for lenders who will perform (32 percent), become more knowledgeable on how to deal with banks on REOs, short sales, and other distressed properties (32 percent), demonstrate the ability to negotiate aggressively for buyers (31 percent), and provide references for lenders who will recommend the best product for the buyer (28 percent).

 

The 2009 Survey of California Home Buyers – FORMERLY NAMED Internet vs. Traditional Buyer Survey.

 

The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties rose to a seasonally adjusted rate of 9.24 percent on all loans outstanding as of the end of the second quarter of 2009, up 12 basis points from the first quarter of 2009, and up 283 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey.  The non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate increased 64 basis points from 8.22 percent in the first quarter of 2009 to 8.86 this quarter, according to the report.  The delinquency rate breaks the record set last quarter, based on MBA data dating back to 1972.

 

California, Florida, Arizona, and Nevada continue to have a disproportionately high share of foreclosure starts, although the share has fallen slightly from last quarter, according to the report, with 44 percent of all of the nation’s new foreclosures during the second quarter of this year, down from 46 percent in the first quarter.

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Richard Tegley Richard Tegley


Past President, Multi-Regional Multiple Listing Service Inc.
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